Napoli vs Bologna: predictions, H2H and market odds

Napoli have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Bologna have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.04 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Napoli's recent matches and 30% of Bologna's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Napoli won 4, Bologna won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 11 May 2026, finished Napoli 2–3 Bologna.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.54–0.95 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.