Nacional vs Vitória Guimarães: predictions, H2H and market odds

Nacional have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Vitória Guimarães have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Nacional's recent matches and 40% of Vitória Guimarães's; 20% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 3 meetings Nacional won 0, Vitória Guimarães won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 2 Jan 2026, finished Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Nacional.