Kepler

FixturesLiga Portugal · Portugal · Round 6

Kick-off: Mon, 14 Sept 2026 · 19:15 UTCStadium: Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos

Moreirense

3 – 1Full time

Marítimo

Moreirense vs Marítimo head to head

In their last 2 meetings Moreirense won 0, Marítimo won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Mar 2022, finished Moreirense 0–1 Marítimo.

0Wins

1Draws

1Wins

6 Mar 2022MoreirenseMarítimo010-1
1 Oct 2021MarítimoMoreirense000-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Moreirense vs Marítimo predicted score

Expected goals

1.35–1.02

Most likely score

1–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	52%	50%
Over 2.5	45%	41%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Moreirense vs Marítimo odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.95	bet365	50.4%
No	1.90	Betfair	49.6%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.36	Pinnacle	41.0%
Under 2.5	1.66	1xbet	59.0%

odds updated 18:36 UTC · 9 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Fabio Melo

Portugal

Yellow cards: 4.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 30.0 per match
Penalties: 1.0 per match

Matches this season: 1

Kepler in Liga Portugal

1 settled picks · ROI +83.0% · average CLV +2.15%

Full track record →