Moreirense vs Gil Vicente: predictions, H2H and market odds

Moreirense have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.41 against). Gil Vicente have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 0.97 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Moreirense's recent matches and 40% of Gil Vicente's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Moreirense won 3, Gil Vicente won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Moreirense 1–2 Gil Vicente.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 40%. Kepler's model projects 1.11–1.14 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50%.