Monaco vs Toulouse: predictions, H2H and market odds

Monaco and Toulouse met on Saturday, 10 October 2026 (Ligue 1); it finished Monaco 2–2 Toulouse. The match was played at Stade Louis II., Monaco.

Monaco have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Toulouse have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.68 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Monaco's recent matches and 70% of Toulouse's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Monaco won 4, Toulouse won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Toulouse 2–2 Monaco.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 2.01–1.17 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Team form

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Monaco vs Toulouse head to head

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4Wins

2Draws

2Wins

25 Apr 2026ToulouseMonaco222-2
25 Oct 2025MonacoToulouse101-0
7 Mar 2025ToulouseMonaco111-1

Monaco vs Toulouse: questions and answers

When is Monaco vs Toulouse?

Monaco vs Toulouse was played on 10 October 2026 (Ligue 1).

Where is Monaco vs Toulouse played?

The match was played at Stade Louis II., Monaco.

Will both teams score in Monaco vs Toulouse?

Yes: it finished Monaco 2–2 Toulouse. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 61%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 61%. Both teams scored in 70% of Monaco's recent matches and 70% of Toulouse's.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Monaco vs Toulouse?

Yes: it finished Monaco 2–2 Toulouse. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 60%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 60%. 60% of Monaco's recent matches and 80% of Toulouse's went over 2.5 goals.