Mirassol vs Botafogo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mirassol have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Botafogo have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.72 against).

Both teams scored in 90% of Mirassol's recent matches and 50% of Botafogo's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Mirassol won 0, Botafogo won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2026, finished Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.49–1.26 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.