Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading: predictions, H2H and market odds

Milton Keynes Dons have won 2, drawn 7 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Reading have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.10 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Milton Keynes Dons's recent matches and 60% of Reading's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.25–1.39 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58%.