Millwall vs West Ham United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Millwall have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.10 against). West Ham United have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (2.17 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Millwall's recent matches and 60% of West Ham United's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.32–2.17 in expected goals, with 1–2 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.