Millwall vs Lincoln City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Millwall have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.34 expected goals for, 1.00 against). Lincoln City have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Millwall's recent matches and 40% of Lincoln City's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.58–0.53 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 47%.