Middlesbrough vs Norwich City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Middlesbrough have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.09 against). Norwich City have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.70 expected goals for, 1.61 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Middlesbrough's recent matches and 80% of Norwich City's; 50% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Middlesbrough won 6, Norwich City won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 60%. Kepler's model projects 1.72–1.16 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.