Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Middlesbrough have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.64 expected goals for, 1.13 against). Cardiff City have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.83 expected goals for, 1.60 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Middlesbrough's recent matches and 80% of Cardiff City's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 8 meetings Middlesbrough won 6, Cardiff City won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Jan 2025, finished Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 72%. Kepler's model projects 2.06–0.95 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.