Mechelen vs Westerlo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mechelen have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.06 expected goals for, 2.19 against). Westerlo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 2.18 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Mechelen's recent matches and 60% of Westerlo's; 70% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Mechelen won 5, Westerlo won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Mechelen 1–1 Westerlo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.80–1.48 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.