Mechelen vs Sint-Truiden: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mechelen have won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.82 against). Sint-Truiden have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.47 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Mechelen's recent matches and 50% of Sint-Truiden's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Mechelen won 0, Sint-Truiden won 9 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Sint-Truiden 3–0 Mechelen.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.40–1.48 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.