Manchester City vs Leeds United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Manchester City have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.66 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Manchester City still have other matches before this one, starting with Fulham on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in. Leeds United have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.18 against). Leeds United still have other matches before this one, starting with Chelsea on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in.

Both teams scored in 60% of Manchester City's recent matches and 50% of Leeds United's; 70% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Manchester City won 6, Leeds United won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Leeds United 0–1 Manchester City.