Mallorca vs Las Palmas: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mallorca have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 0.91 against). Las Palmas have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.42 against).

Both teams scored in 0% of Mallorca's recent matches and 60% of Las Palmas's; 20% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Mallorca won 3, Las Palmas won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Feb 2025, finished Mallorca 3–1 Las Palmas.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 0.78–0.35 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46%.