Mallorca vs Almería: predictions, H2H and market odds

Mallorca have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 0.91 against). Almería have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.00 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of Mallorca's recent matches and 40% of Almería's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Mallorca won 1, Almería won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 19 May 2024, finished Mallorca 2–2 Almería.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.31–0.52 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 47%.