LOSC Lille vs Troyes: predictions, H2H and market odds

LOSC Lille have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (1.83 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Troyes have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 2.58 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of LOSC Lille's recent matches and 70% of Troyes's; 30% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings LOSC Lille won 2, Troyes won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Jun 2023, finished Troyes 1–1 LOSC Lille.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 59%. Kepler's model projects 2.42–0.77 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.