Liverpool vs Fulham: predictions, H2H and market odds

Liverpool have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.50 against). Fulham have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.49 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Liverpool's recent matches and 30% of Fulham's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Liverpool won 4, Fulham won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Liverpool 2–0 Fulham.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 2.10–1.07 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.