Leganés vs Granada: predictions, H2H and market odds

Leganés have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.11 against). Granada have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.03 expected goals for, 1.25 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Leganés's recent matches and 40% of Granada's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Leganés won 3, Granada won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Feb 2026, finished Leganés 1–0 Granada.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 40%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–0.98 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.