Kepler

FixturesSerie A · Italy · Round 4

Kick-off: Sun, 13 Sept 2026 · 13:00 UTCStadium: Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, Lecce

Lecce

3 – 2Full time

Monza

Lecce vs Monza head to head

In their last 8 meetings Lecce won 4, Monza won 0 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Feb 2025, finished Monza 0–0 Lecce.

4Wins

4Draws

0Wins

16 Feb 2025MonzaLecce000-0
15 Dec 2024LecceMonza212-1
27 Apr 2024LecceMonza111-1
17 Sept 2023MonzaLecce111-1
28 May 2023MonzaLecce010-1
11 Sept 2022LecceMonza111-1
27 Feb 2022MonzaLecce010-1
1 Oct 2021LecceMonza303-0

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Lecce vs Monza predicted score

Expected goals

1.08–0.98

Most likely score

1–0

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	48%	51%
Over 2.5	42%	42%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Lecce vs Monza odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.91	888Sport	51.1%
No	1.91	Betfair	48.9%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	2.35	1xbet	42.0%
Under 2.5	1.70	1xbet	58.0%

odds updated 11:57 UTC · 10 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Valerio Crezzini

Italy

Yellow cards: 1.0 per match
Red cards: 0.0 per match
Fouls: 20.0 per match
Penalties: 0.0 per match

Matches this season: 3

Kepler in Serie A

12 settled picks · ROI +8.8% · average CLV +0.68%

Full track record →