Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid: predictions, H2H and market odds

Las Palmas have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Real Valladolid have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.41 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Las Palmas's recent matches and 40% of Real Valladolid's; 50% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Las Palmas won 4, Real Valladolid won 0 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Las Palmas 2–1 Real Valladolid.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 1.51–0.77 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.