Las Palmas vs Leganés: predictions, H2H and market odds

Las Palmas have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.56 against). Leganés have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.47 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Las Palmas's recent matches and 30% of Leganés's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Las Palmas won 4, Leganés won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Apr 2026, finished Las Palmas 2–0 Leganés.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.26–0.73 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.