Las Palmas vs Castellón: predictions, H2H and market odds

Las Palmas have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 1.43 against). Castellón have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.41 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Las Palmas's recent matches and 40% of Castellón's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Las Palmas won 0, Castellón won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Las Palmas 1–1 Castellón.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.43–1.26 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.