Juventus vs Atalanta: predictions, H2H and market odds

Juventus have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.40 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Atalanta have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.76 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Juventus's recent matches and 70% of Atalanta's; 20% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Juventus won 2, Atalanta won 2 and 6 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Apr 2026, finished Atalanta 0–1 Juventus.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–1.10 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.