Internacional vs Corinthians: predictions, H2H and market odds

Internacional have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.22 against). Corinthians have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.22 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Internacional's recent matches and 60% of Corinthians's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Internacional won 3, Corinthians won 1 and 5 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Corinthians 0–1 Internacional.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 34%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–0.97 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52%.