Hull City vs Everton: predictions, H2H and market odds

Hull City have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.13 against). Everton have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.19 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Hull City's recent matches and 60% of Everton's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.14–0.63 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50%.