Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück: predictions, H2H and market odds

Holstein Kiel have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Osnabrück have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.3 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 2.12 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Holstein Kiel's recent matches and 60% of Osnabrück's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Holstein Kiel won 1, Osnabrück won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 13 Apr 2024, finished Holstein Kiel 4–0 Osnabrück.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 65%. Kepler's model projects 2.17–1.02 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.