Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: predictions, H2H and market odds

Holstein Kiel have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.27 against). Hertha BSC have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.65 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Holstein Kiel's recent matches and 80% of Hertha BSC's; 50% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Holstein Kiel won 1, Hertha BSC won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Hertha BSC 0–1 Holstein Kiel.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 69%. Kepler's model projects 1.45–1.42 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.