Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: predictions, H2H and market odds

Hertha BSC have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.52 against). SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.63 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Hertha BSC's recent matches and 80% of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Hertha BSC won 5, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Hertha BSC 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 69%. Kepler's model projects 2.15–1.16 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.