Grimsby Town vs Bristol Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Grimsby Town have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.27 expected goals for, 1.05 against). Bristol Rovers have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.51 expected goals for, 0.93 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Grimsby Town's recent matches and 60% of Bristol Rovers's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Grimsby Town won 0, Bristol Rovers won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Feb 2026, finished Bristol Rovers 3–1 Grimsby Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.25 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.