Grêmio vs Palmeiras head to head

In their last 7 meetings Grêmio won 2, Palmeiras won 4 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished Palmeiras 2–1 Grêmio.

2Wins

1Draws

4Wins

3 Apr 2026PalmeirasGrêmio212-1
26 Nov 2025GrêmioPalmeiras323-2
27 Jul 2025PalmeirasGrêmio101-0
9 Nov 2024PalmeirasGrêmio101-0
4 Jul 2024GrêmioPalmeiras222-2
22 Sept 2023GrêmioPalmeiras101-0
11 May 2023PalmeirasGrêmio414-1

Betting involves risk. Past results do not guarantee future ones. 18+.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras predicted score

Expected goals

0.95–1.50

Most likely score

0–1

Market	Model	Market
Both teams to score · Yes	58%	54%
Over 2.5	52%	49%

Kepler's model for a match without a signal. It publishes a pick only when its numbers and the market's disagree by enough.

Grêmio vs Palmeiras odds

Side	Best price		Fair probability
Both teams to score
Yes	1.76	Marathonbet	53.6%
No	2.00	bet365	46.4%
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5	1.98	Pinnacle	49.1%
Under 2.5	1.91	Pinnacle	50.9%

odds updated 13:58 UTC · 7 bookmakers tracked

Fair probability: one bookmaker's two prices with its margin removed - Pinnacle where it prices the market, otherwise an exchange.

What is a fair probability? →

No signal was published for this match

Before kickoff the model's price and the market's did not disagree by enough to publish. Signals for upcoming matches reach subscribers the moment they open.

What does “no signal” mean on a match page? →

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Referee

Paulo Cesar Zanovelli

Brazil

Yellow cards: 6.2 per match
Red cards: 0.4 per match
Fouls: 28.9 per match
Penalties: 0.27 per match

Matches this season: 15

Kepler in Serie A

15 settled picks · ROI −39.4% · average CLV +2.45%

Full track record →