Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: predictions, H2H and market odds

Grêmio have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.95 expected goals for, 1.51 against). Atlético Mineiro have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Grêmio's recent matches and 50% of Atlético Mineiro's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 6 meetings Grêmio won 3, Atlético Mineiro won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Aug 2025, finished Atlético Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio.