Girona vs Mallorca: predictions, H2H and market odds

Girona have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.67 expected goals for, 1.32 against). Mallorca have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 0.93 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Girona's recent matches and 10% of Mallorca's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 8 meetings Girona won 4, Mallorca won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 1 May 2026, finished Girona 0–1 Mallorca.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 0.79–0.68 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46%.