Gillingham vs Tranmere Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gillingham have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.73 against). Tranmere Rovers have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.18 expected goals for, 1.14 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Gillingham's recent matches and 70% of Tranmere Rovers's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Gillingham won 3, Tranmere Rovers won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Gillingham 2–1 Tranmere Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.33–1.13 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.