Gillingham vs Port Vale: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gillingham have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.26 against). Port Vale have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.02 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Gillingham's recent matches and 20% of Port Vale's; 50% and 10% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Gillingham won 2, Port Vale won 0 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2025, finished Port Vale 0–1 Gillingham.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 0.94–1.09 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49%.