Gillingham vs Bristol Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gillingham have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.73 against). Bristol Rovers have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 0.94 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Gillingham's recent matches and 50% of Bristol Rovers's; 50% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Gillingham won 1, Bristol Rovers won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Gillingham 1–2 Bristol Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.16–1.27 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.