Gil Vicente vs Marítimo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gil Vicente have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.15 expected goals for, 0.96 against). Marítimo have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.33 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Gil Vicente's recent matches and 70% of Marítimo's; 40% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Gil Vicente won 3, Marítimo won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Mar 2023, finished Gil Vicente 2–0 Marítimo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 40%. Kepler's model projects 1.65–0.86 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.