Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, H2H and market odds

Getafe have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (0.88 expected goals for, 1.30 against). Rayo Vallecano have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 1.59 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of Getafe's recent matches and 90% of Rayo Vallecano's; 20% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Getafe won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 4 and 6 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 44% and over 2.5 goals at 33%. Kepler's model projects 0.90–0.75 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49%.