Getafe vs Celta de Vigo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Getafe have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (0.82 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Celta de Vigo have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 10% of Getafe's recent matches and 50% of Celta de Vigo's; 20% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 10 meetings Getafe won 4, Celta de Vigo won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Feb 2026, finished Getafe 0–0 Celta de Vigo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 30%. Kepler's model projects 0.98–0.89 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.