Gent vs Standard Liège: predictions, H2H and market odds

Gent have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 1.61 against). Standard Liège have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.60 expected goals for, 1.21 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Gent's recent matches and 60% of Standard Liège's; 40% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Gent won 9, Standard Liège won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 Jan 2026, finished Standard Liège 0–4 Gent.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 47%. Kepler's model projects 1.49–0.92 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.