Genk vs Gent: predictions, H2H and market odds

Genk have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.84 expected goals for, 1.13 against). Gent have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.54 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Genk's recent matches and 40% of Gent's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Genk won 5, Gent won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Genk 3–0 Gent.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.61–1.23 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.