Fortaleza vs Ceará: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fortaleza have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (1.00 expected goals for, 1.01 against). Ceará have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.59 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Fortaleza's recent matches and 60% of Ceará's; 10% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Fortaleza won 1, Ceará won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Ceará 2–1 Fortaleza.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%. Kepler's model projects 1.47–0.69 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.