Fluminense vs Coritiba: predictions, H2H and market odds

Fluminense have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.26 against). Coritiba have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.34 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Fluminense's recent matches and 70% of Coritiba's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Fluminense won 2, Coritiba won 2 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Apr 2026, finished Coritiba 1–1 Fluminense.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 2.04–0.92 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.