Flamengo vs Bragantino: predictions, H2H and market odds

Flamengo have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.72 expected goals for, 1.02 against). Bragantino have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.42 expected goals for, 1.30 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Flamengo's recent matches and 60% of Bragantino's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Flamengo won 5, Bragantino won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 3 Apr 2026, finished Bragantino 3–0 Flamengo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 2.16–0.72 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.