FC Midtjylland vs FC København: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Midtjylland have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.53 expected goals for, 1.15 against). FC København have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.69 expected goals for, 1.02 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of FC Midtjylland's recent matches and 30% of FC København's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings FC Midtjylland won 6, FC København won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Feb 2026, finished FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC København.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.71–1.57 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.