FC Köln vs Werder Bremen: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Köln have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.5 conceded (2.03 expected goals for, 1.36 against). Werder Bremen have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.56 against).

Both teams scored in 100% of FC Köln's recent matches and 70% of Werder Bremen's; 90% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 6 meetings FC Köln won 2, Werder Bremen won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished FC Köln 3–1 Werder Bremen.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 1.60–1.36 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.