FC Barcelona vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (2.07 expected goals for, 0.93 against). Rayo Vallecano have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.46 expected goals for, 1.49 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of FC Barcelona's recent matches and 60% of Rayo Vallecano's; 50% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings FC Barcelona won 4, Rayo Vallecano won 3 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, finished FC Barcelona 1–0 Rayo Vallecano.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 71%.