FC Barcelona vs Getafe: predictions, H2H and market odds

FC Barcelona have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (2.25 expected goals for, 1.22 against). Getafe have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (0.95 expected goals for, 1.19 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of FC Barcelona's recent matches and 30% of Getafe's; 80% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings FC Barcelona won 6, Getafe won 0 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Getafe 0–2 FC Barcelona.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 74%. Kepler's model projects 2.31–0.54 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 43% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.