Famalicão vs Sporting CP: predictions, H2H and market odds

Famalicão have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 0.97 against). Sporting CP have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (2.05 expected goals for, 0.94 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Famalicão's recent matches and 70% of Sporting CP's; 40% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Famalicão won 0, Sporting CP won 9 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 15 Feb 2026, finished Sporting CP 1–0 Famalicão.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 54%. Kepler's model projects 0.84–1.82 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.