Exeter City vs Tranmere Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Exeter City have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.24 expected goals for, 1.79 against). Tranmere Rovers have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.22 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Exeter City's recent matches and 60% of Tranmere Rovers's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Exeter City won 0, Tranmere Rovers won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2022, finished Tranmere Rovers 2–0 Exeter City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%. Kepler's model projects 1.08–0.55 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.